Trading Jerusalem For Iran
canada goose clearance sale US president Donald J. Trump's recognition of Jerusalem potentially sets the stage for a controversial American effort to resolve the Israeli Palestinian conflict backed by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. canada goose clearance sale
canada goose clearance The United canada goose coats on sale States and the two Gulf states see a US peace plan in the making as a way of paving the way for more overt cooperation with Israel in confronting Iran, whom they accuse of destabilizing the Middle East. canada goose clearance
In doing so, the United States, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are navigating a minefield. Protests against Mr. Trump's move have so far canada goose clearance underplayed the link between the fight against Iran and apparent Saudi and UAE willingness to compromise on minimal Palestinian demands for peace that include East Jerusalem as the capital of a future Palestinian state.
uk canada goose outlet That could change as US plans for an Israeli Palestinian peace crystalize and canada goose coats the link to the Saudi Iranian rivalry manifests itself. At the core of the US draft plan is reportedly the controversial suggestion that Abu Dis, a Palestinian village bordering on Jerusalem, rather than East Jerusalem, would be the capital of a future Palestinian state. uk canada goose outlet
Canada Goose Outlet Perceived Saudi and UAE backing for the proposal that is reportedly being drafted by Mr. Trump's aide and son in law, Jared canada goose black friday sale Kushner, would bring anger at alleged Arab complicity to the buy canada goose jacket cheap forefront, fuel the persistent anti US and anti Israel protests, and complicate the Canada Goose sale campaign by the US and the two Gulf states against Iran. Canada Goose Outlet
The notion that Abu Dis could replace East Jerusalem has been around for almost two decades. It failed to garner support during the 2000 Camp David Israeli Palestinian peace talks because Arab and Palestinian leaders rejected it. Saudi and UAE eagerness to work Canada Goose Parka with Israel coupled with Mr. Trump's seemingly unqualified support for the Jewish state has given the proposal a new lease on life.
canada goose uk black friday Saudi Arabia and the UAE, despite their official condemnation of Mr. Trump's recognition of Jerusalem, have signalled a willingness to be more flexible by continuing to support Mr. Kushner's effort and playing a low key, if not dampening, role in Arab and Muslim rejection of the president's move. canada goose uk black friday
buy canada goose jacket Ironically, differences among Arab leaders about how to respond to Mr. Trump's Jerusalem decision may have temporarily prevented Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, from adding Palestine to a string of failed foreign policy moves aimed at escalating the kingdom's proxy war with Iran. Prince Mohammed's devastating military intervention in Yemen, botched effort to force Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri to resign, and hamstrung boycott of Qatar have backfired and only strengthened the Islamic republic's regional influence. buy canada goose jacket
buy canada goose jacket cheap Inadvertently, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and Jordanian King Abdullah did Prince Mohammed a favour when they reportedly rejected pressure by Prince Mohammed not to participate in this week's summit of Islamic countries in Istanbul. Saudi Arabia was represented by a lower level Cabinet official. Mr. Abbas may have further shielded the Saudi leader when his refusal to further accept the United States as a mediator cheap Canada Goose was adopted by the summit. buy canada goose jacket cheap
The two leaders' stand coupled with the Islamic summit's rejection of Mr. Trump's move make it more difficult for Saudi Arabia and the UAE to endorse any resolution of the Israeli Palestinian conflict that does not recognize East Jerusalem as the capital of Palestine. The problem is that Prince Mohammed and his UAE counterpart, Prince Mohammed bin Zayed, run the risk of misreading or underestimating public anger and frustration in significant parts of the Arab and Muslim world.
canada goose The link between Israeli Palestinian peace making and Iran is likely to become undeniable canada goose deals when Mr. Trump next month must decide whether to uphold the 2015 international agreement with Iran Canada Goose Outlet that put severe restrictions on its nuclear program in exchange for the lifting canada goose of sanctions. canada goose
Under US law, Mr. Trump has to certify Iranian compliance every three months. In October, Mr. Trump refused to do so. He threatened to pull out of the agreement if Congress failed to address the agreement's perceived shortcomings within 60 days. Congress has so far refrained from acting on Mr. Trump's demand. Mr. Trump wants Congress to ensure that Iranian compliance involves accepting restrictions on its ballistic missile program and support of regional proxies.
Canada Goose Online It is anybody's guess what Mr. Trump will do. At first glance, US ambassador canada goose clearance sale to the United Nations Nikki Haley's presentation of Iranian missile parts as evidence of Tehran's support for Houthi rebels in Yemen and Iranian destabilization of the Middle East would suggest that Mr. Canada Goose online Trump is preparing to decertify Iran and possibly withdraw from the agreement. Canada Goose Online
Canada Goose online It could however also be an effort to project a tougher US stance towards Iran while cooler heads in the administration prevail on Mr. Trump to keep the agreement in place. Canada Goose online
canada goose canada goose outlet factory sale In either case, Mr. Trump Canada Goose Jackets and his Gulf allies are walking a tightrope by fuelling suspicion that they are willing to compromise on minimal Palestinian demands for peace in a bid to cater to Israel, a natural ally in the fight against Iran. canada goose factory sale
Canada Goose Jackets In doing so, Mr. Trump and the Saudi and UAE crown princes risk misreading not only the public mood but also Iranian influence and intentions, particularly regarding the Islamic republic's ability to control the Houthi rebels. Ms. Haley's evidence that was supplied by Saudi Arabia and the UAE failed to convince many in the international community. Canada Goose Jackets
Canada Goose Coats On Sale Ms. Haley's missile parts display was prompted by the Iranian backed Houthis firing of a ballistic missile at Riyadh on November 4. It remains unclear whether that missile was supplied by Iran, or possibly North Korea, and when it was given to the Houthis key questions that need to be answered to determine possible Iranian culpability. Canada Goose Coats On Sale
The Houthis, a fiercely independent actor who have repeatedly demonstrated that they do not take orders from Tehran and at times ignore its advice, could throw a monkey wrench into the fragile Middle East mix if they make good on a threat to target not only Saudi but also Emirati cities. A missile strike would no doubt provoke a harsh response, possibly involving a joint US Saudi UAE strike against Iran rather than against the Houthis in Yemen.
Anger already aroused by Mr. Trump's decision on Jerusalem potentially could then turn against Arab leaders who would be seen to be cooperating with the canada-goose-outlet.biz buy canada goose jacket United States and willing to sacrifice Palestinian rights to work with Israel.
canada goose black friday sale In short, it could open a can of worms in which public anger is directed against multiple parties ranging from the United States to Israel to Arab leaders to Iran and the Houthis and/or prove to be a perfect storm. canada goose black friday sale
canada goose uk shop Dr. James M. Dorsey is a senior fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, co director of the University of Wrzburg's Institute for Fan Culture, and co host of the New Books in Middle Eastern Studies podcast. Teresita Cruz Del Rosario and Shifting Sands, Essays on Sports and Politics in the Middle East and North Africa canada goose uk shop.